Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?
EuropeOne-OffTecnologiaRegolamentazione1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 61.5%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto23 feb 26, 02:14 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if any country (population >1 million) enacts legislation that explicitly taxes the use of robots, AI systems, or automation equipment, or imposes a dedicated levy on firms that automate jobs, by December 31, 2027.
- What counts: A tax specifically targeting automation/AI/robots — not general capital gains taxes, corporate taxes, or investment tax credit changes.
- South Korea's 2017 reduction of automation investment tax credits would NOT count as it was a credit reduction, not a dedicated tax.
- What doesn't count: Proposals, bills that don't pass, or taxes on AI companies (as opposed to taxes on the act of automating).
- Baseline: As of February 2026, no country has enacted a dedicated robot/automation tax.
- The EU rejected a robot tax proposal in 2017.
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 62% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027??
- Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if any country (population >1 million) enacts legislation that explicitly taxes the use of robots, AI systems, or automation equipment, or imposes a dedicated levy on firms that automate jobs, by December 31, 2027.