Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 70.1%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
8 ago 26, 07:13 UTC1 gen 28, 05:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Codename: TAKEOFF
- Resolves YES if any AI model publicly released before January 1, 2028 receives an official general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score of 200 or higher.
- The model must be released before the deadline, but Epoch may score it afterward.
- The central general-ECI value in Epoch’s canonical score file controls—not confidence bounds or domain-specific scores.
- If Epoch changes its scale or stops publishing useful scores, MNX will use its published conversion or the closest credible reconstruction of the same threshold.
- Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028??
- Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Codename: TAKEOFF