Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 93.1%
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto26 mar 23, 11:07 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Stanley Druckenmiller (famous trader) said this in an interview (14:20) (recorded mid-year 2022)
- We've had a hurricane behind us for 30 or 40 years and now it's reversing, and I won't be surprised, in fact it's my central thesis that in 10 years the dow [jones industrial average] won't be much higher than it is today.
- So he seems pretty confident.
- Mid-year 2022 DJI price: 3100.
- 'A little higher': +20% = 3720
- YES = DJI < 3720 on July 1st 2032
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per We're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032)?
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- Come viene liquidato We're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Stanley Druckenmiller (famous trader) said this in an interview (14:20) (recorded mid-year 2022)