Previsione della comunità attuale
No 96.5%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
14 mag 26, 21:23 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiRegole
"Yes" if Rayner is Prime Minister on or before 1st December 2026, and "No" otherwise.
- Does not resolve "No" immediately if someone other than Rayner and Starmer becomes PM, since they may resign and be replaced by Rayner.
- Resolves "No" immediately if Rayner dies.
- Resolves "N/A" if the office of Prime Minister is abolished before December.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December??
- Will Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: "Yes" if Rayner is Prime Minister on or before 1st December 2026, and "No" otherwise.