Previsione della comunità attuale
No 96.5%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo14 mag 26, 21:23 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Manifold MarketsRegole
"Yes" if Rayner is Prime Minister on or before 1st December 2026, and "No" otherwise.
- Does not resolve "No" immediately if someone other than Rayner and Starmer becomes PM, since they may resign and be replaced by Rayner.
- Resolves "No" immediately if Rayner dies.
- Resolves "N/A" if the office of Prime Minister is abolished before December.
