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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto19 giu 25, 22:13 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lichess surpass Chess.com to be the most popular chess platform by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
KalshiChess.com Player of the Year Winner
KalshiRegole
The LLM must not be trained to play adversarially.
- I am going with an academic definition of LLM (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_language_model)
- All meaningful computation must be done on the network, thus Monte Carlo Search is disallow, but recurrent nets are allowed
- Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An LLM that acts as an agent that uses tools or writes its own algorithm for depth search will not count towards a YES resolution.
