Previsione della comunità attuale
No 78.4%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto22 apr 26, 19:20 UTC31 dic 27, 20:08 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
Manifold MarketsAsian Table Tennis Championships: Abdullah Albahrani vs Gyu-Hyeon Park
PolymarketAsian Table Tennis Championships: Mustafo Aliev vs Aidos Kenzhigulov
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any time before January 1, 2028, an autonomous robot defeats an active (non-retired) athlete who has won an Olympic gold medal in table tennis in a standard match, or if a robot is officially recognized as having beaten an Olympic champion in a documented, competitive table tennis match.
- The match must be played under International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF) rules or similar professional standards.
- A "robot" is defined as a machine utilizing artificial intelligence to autonomously control paddle movement and ball tracking in real-time, without human remote operation.
- Table tennis is a high-speed sport requiring extreme precision, rapid reaction times, and tactical adaptation, making it a benchmark challenge for robotics and AI.
- While robotic systems have been developed to play table tennis, they have historically struggled against elite human players due to the speed and spin complexities inherent in professional play.
