Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 87.5%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto
5 ago 26, 04:05 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
Otherwise, resolves NO.
The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
Come viene liquidato Will a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.