Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81%
Previsori
109
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
13 gen 26, 16:44 UTC31 dic 26, 16:42 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send troops to help Iran within the next 24 months?
Manifold MarketsIf a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketSaudi troops enter Sanaa by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- ‼️This market resolves YES if the United States deploys ground troops to Iran.
- Trump has stated that military intervention "doesn't mean boots on the ground," suggesting that airstrikes, cyber operations, or other non-ground-based military actions would not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO if no U.S. ground troops are deployed to Iran by December 31, 2026‼️.
- Nationwide protests began on December 28, 2025, when merchants at Tehran's Grand Bazaar closed their shops over the Iranian rial's plummeting value, and demonstrations quickly spread nationwide with grievances evolving from economic concerns to broader opposition against Iran's clerical establishment.
- Violence in the country has led to dozens of deaths and arrests.
