Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.2%
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7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
12 set 26, 21:53 UTC4 nov 26, 22:49 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will Abdul El Sayed and Mike rogers debate?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExMichigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
KalshiMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiRegole
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.
- This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points.
- It resolves no otherwise.
- I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
- I may trade on this market.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-3.2pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
+45 altri esiti
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
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- 28,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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KALSHITexas Senate winner?
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.4pt55.6%
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- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 68% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.