What percentage of the Black vote will Abdul El-Sayed get?
21.1 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione1gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale89% or more 26.7%+21.1ptIn testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+21.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
15 ott 26, 09:46 UTC4 nov 26, 09:43 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves according to the 2026 CNN Exit Poll(Race>Black) for the 2026 Michigan Senate election.
- If there is no CNN exit poll, resolves to the Edison exit poll.
- If there is no Edison exit poll, resolves according to NBC exit polls.
- N/a if none of those have an exit poll.
- In 2024, Kamala Harris recieved 85% of the black vote and Elissa Slotkin got 83%l according to the CNN exit poll.Exit poll results 2024 | CNN Politics
