Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
One-OffSocietà e culturaPolitica4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77.2%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 23, 19:32 UTC1 mar 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhat % of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 5% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill 1% of Americans believe technology is most important problem in the US in 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsIf the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.
- Since polling began, Americans' self-identification as LGBT has risen from 3.5% in 2012 to 7.2% in 2022.
- In the last three years, polling results were published in articles on Gallup's website the February after the year in-question (2020, 2021, 2022).
- Polling temporarily lapsed in 2018 and 2019.
- If Gallup does not publish anything on this question for all of the next 3 years, this question resolves N/A. So long as at least 1 of the next 3 years has directly comparable data, this question resolves YES if any of Gallup's polling shows that 10% or more of Americans identify as LGBT.
