Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
One-OffSociety & CulturePolitica5mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.3%
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 23, 19:32 UTC1 mar 27, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.
- Since polling began, Americans' self-identification as LGBT has risen from 3.5% in 2012 to 7.2% in 2022.
- In the last three years, polling results were published in articles on Gallup's website the February after the year in-question (2020, 2021, 2022).
- Polling temporarily lapsed in 2018 and 2019.
- If Gallup does not publish anything on this question for all of the next 3 years, this question resolves N/A. So long as at least 1 of the next 3 years has directly comparable data, this question resolves YES if any of Gallup's polling shows that 10% or more of Americans identify as LGBT.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup??
- Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.