Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAdam Hamilton (d) 60%+7.2ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+26.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ott 26, 00:06 UTC1 gen 27, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketKansas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketRegole
Polls indicate a possible upset, but if we’ve learned anything in the last two elections… polls are often wrong.
- Kansas hadn’t elected a Democrat senator since 1932.
- If the election is clearly called by at least 2 major news organizations the question will settle.
- If the result is in doubt it will resolve by the end of the year when it does get called or, if needed with a best estimate based on Kalshi odds