Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?
2.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20268g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Riferimento salvato
No 60%
No 60%Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
139,2 €
Liquidità
24,8K €
Alta liquiditàOpen interest
257 USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-10.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 32 minuti fa
29 set 26, 00:04 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWill Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republican candidates both 1) win one or more Senate races in states won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential Election and 2) lose one or more Senate races in states won by Donald Trump with a margin of victory of 10 or more percentage points in the 2024 Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected.
- A candidate will be considered to be a Republican if they are the nominee of or have a ballot-listed affiliation with the Republican Party.
- Candidates who run as independents or third-party candidates will not be considered to be Republicans regardless of affiliation or caucus decisions.