Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
0.3 pt (24h)PoliticaPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 26.8%+0.3ptIn testa tra 61 esiti
Previsori
489
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ago 23, 16:14 UTC2 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
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KalshiRegole
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 20%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
