Previsione della comunità attuale
Labor 64.7%-0.5ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
27 gen 26, 11:02 UTC31 mag 28, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegole
Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.
- Only the party of the prime minister is relevant, even if a coalition forms government.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election??
- Manifold Markets quota Labor al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election??
- Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 maggio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.