Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNobody 37.4%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto2 ott 25, 17:42 UTC2 ott 26, 17:42 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death?
Manifold MarketsRobin Hanson wins a Nobel Prize in Economics?
Manifold MarketsWill Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketRegole
I may or may not have an interview with Robin Hanson coming up.
- I created a prediction market about whether or not he would accept my request to be the subject of an interview about being the subject of a prediction market.
- And I want a sponsor for my youtube channel, so I put a public stripe link on twitter around the conversation to see if manifold would see the value.
- https://x.com/leo_guinan/status/1973804489401311452
- Here's my youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ideasupplychain
Mercati aperti
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 593,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9K €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume totale
- 271,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 101,4 €
- Volume 24h
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Manifold Markets quota Nobody al 37% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I may or may not have an interview with Robin Hanson coming up.