Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
SpaceX 56.4%In testa tra 3 esiti
SpaceX 56.4%Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+23.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ott 26, 08:45 UTC7 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves to the launch provider responsible for the first orbital launch attempt worldwide with a liftoff time in calendar year 2027 (UTC).
- Orbital launch attempt: any launch intended to reach Earth orbit or beyond, including failures.
- Suborbital flights and tests not intended to reach orbit are excluded.
- Launch provider: the company or agency operating the launch vehicle, classified by the country where it is headquartered.
- Launch site, customer and payload don’t matter.
- For example, a Rocket Lab Electron launch from New Zealand counts as “Other American provider”.
