Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Other 50.8%In testa tra 19 esiti
Previsori
45
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto21 feb 24, 22:29 UTC3 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.5%
0.3%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurRegole
Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.
- If the Republicans lost their majority in the House, Johnson would likely become become the Republican Minority Leader, which would then be the position of the #1 Republican under a Democratic Party House.
- This market resolves to the name of the next Republican after Mike Johnson to assume the position of either Speaker of the House or Minority Leader.
- In the case of a leadership crisis like the one resulting from Speaker McCarthy's removal as speaker, the person appointed to Speaker pro tempore (if anyone) does not count.
- Only a permanent Republican Speaker or permanent Republican Minority Leader resolves this market.
- If you have suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.