KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
9,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.5% / 2.5%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
24 nov 25, 22:00 UTC3 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
KalshiJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiRegole
If Chuck Schumer is no longer Senate Minority Leader before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader??
- Kalshi quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader??
- Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Chuck Schumer is no longer Senate Minority Leader before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.