Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
JD Vance 46.6%In testa tra 15 esiti
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+11.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 24, 03:00 UTC12 nov 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump remain de facto leader of the United States beyond the end of his second term?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican nominee?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Donald J. Trump win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Donald Trump Jr. win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.
- This means that if Trump steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.
- But if Trump is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Donald Trump.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- Manifold Markets quota JD Vance al 47% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.