Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.
PoliticaYearlyUS PoliticsElezione1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 54.7%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto1 giu 26, 12:33 UTC31 ago 28, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Under 55! U.S. Rep. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the officially selected 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States is strictly under the age of 55 (has not yet reached their 55th birthday) on the day they officially secure the nomination.
- This market will resolve to NO if the nominee is 55 years of age or older on the day they officially secure the nomination.
- Definition of "officially securing the nomination": This is defined as the day the nominee officially crosses the delegate threshold required to win the nomination, whether via a roll-call vote at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (scheduled for August 7–10, 2028) or via an official virtual roll call held prior to the convention.
- Source of Truth: The age of the nominee on the roll-call date will be verified using official biographical records or mainstream biographical profiles (such as Britannica or Wikipedia).
- Precondition: If the Democratic Party does not nominate a presidential candidate for the 2028 election, or if the nomination process is canceled, this market will resolve N/A.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.?
- Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028. dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Under 55! U.S. Dem. Presidential nominee will not have reached age 55 by the time they win the nomination in 2028.?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria