Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJD Vance 52%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto31 mag 26, 02:08 UTC1 lug 28, 16:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
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Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
(EN) The 2028 Republican primary is shaping up as the first true post-Trump succession battle inside the modern GOP.
- With President Donald Trump term-limited, the central question is whether Republican voters choose a direct heir to the MAGA movement or pivot toward a different conservative coalition.
- (ES) Las primarias republicanas de 2028 se perfilan como la primera verdadera batalla por la sucesión dentro del Partido Republicano moderno tras la era Trump.
- Con el mandato del presidente Donald Trump limitado, la cuestión central es si los votantes republicanos elegirán a un heredero directo del movimiento MAGA o se decantarán por una coalición conservadora diferente.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota JD Vance al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028??
- Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: (EN) The 2028 Republican primary is shaping up as the first true post-Trump succession battle inside the modern GOP.