Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 00:58 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeStephen 85.3%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto25 nov 23, 06:05 UTC2 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketInk FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill $TSLA close above $1000 per share by December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold.
- Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit.
- Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last.
- This market resolves to that person.
- (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)
- Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company.
