Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJ. D. Vance 30.6%In testa tra 18 esiti
Previsori
109
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto8 ago 23, 12:25 UTC2 nov 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRegole
Uses the standard counting system - presidents in nonconsecutive terms get two numbers.
- At the time of market creation, Joe Biden was the 46th president.
- Currently, the named outcome is the 47th president (having previously been the 45th).
- The president after Trump will therefore be the 48th.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the 48th president of the United States??
- Manifold Markets quota J. D. Vance al 31% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the 48th president of the United States??
- Who will be the 48th president of the United States? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the 48th president of the United States??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Uses the standard counting system - presidents in nonconsecutive terms get two numbers.