Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 64.3%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto3 feb 26, 03:33 UTC31 dic 32, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0.5%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
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PredictItRegole
Longer title: "Contingent on someone being elected US president in 2032, who will be the first person to be elected US president in 2032?"
- You may add answers.
- I will N/A or edit any answer which does not clearly and reasonably refer to a single identified individual.
- If somehow no one is elected US president in 2032, I will N/A the market.
- If somehow more than one person is elected US president in 2032, I will resolve to the first such person.
- I will not trade in this market.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be elected US president in 2032??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be elected US president in 2032??
- Who will be elected US president in 2032? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2032.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be elected US president in 2032??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Longer title: "Contingent on someone being elected US president in 2032, who will be the first person to be elected US president in 2032?"