Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 57.2%+0.3ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
2 set 25, 22:375 nov 28, 23:59
Trend
Regole
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election? · JD Vance 19%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 20%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 24%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 165,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 9,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 947,7K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Volume totale
- 21,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 468,3K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)?
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 57% al 25 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)?
- Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) dovrebbe risolversi il 5 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- Dove altro è quotato Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi.