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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 09:59 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Lee Harvey Oswald (acting alone) 85.5%In testa tra 18 esiti
Lee Harvey Oswald (acting alone) 85.5%Previsori
240
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto3 lug 23, 07:46 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a consensus amongst scholars and historians as to who orchestrated JFK's assassination by 2030?
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Resolves to the rough consensus among non-US-state-affiliated scholars, researchers, and historians of the identity of the final orchestrator of the assassination of President John F. Kennedy at the start of 2030 (or N/A if no such consensus exists).
- "Final orchestrator" means the entity most responsible for directly initiating the chain of events that led to the assasination.
- If the CIA enlisted the mafia to help with the assassination, this will resolve 100% CIA.
- If the CIA and mafia are co-equal partners in carrying out the assasination, this will resolve 50% CIA, 50% mafia, etc.