Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 58.7%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 nov 24, 02:49 UTC7 gen 29, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who orchestrated JFK's assassination?
Manifold MarketsJFK assassination linked to Aliens before 2040
Manifold MarketsWill there be a consensus amongst scholars and historians as to who orchestrated JFK's assassination by 2030?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
Trump has announced that he has a plan to 'drain the swamp' and in that plan video, linked below, he says he intends to declassify major information.
- Will we get major declassifications regarding the JFK assassination? I'm going to add to this description with any smart comments I get as to what should be the criteria for 'YES' other than my best judgement.
- If there's nothing major declassified about JFK during Trump's entire term, this will resolve to 'NO'
- https://x.com/FarmGirlCarrie/status/1854711284333449626
- Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- Information considered must not have been previously known.