Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
0.2 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202620g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrats Sweep 63.1%-0.2ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
218
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-2.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
21 lug 25, 23:47 UTC4 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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This market will resolve based on the outcome of the 2026 United States midterm elections.
- A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it secures a majority of voting seats.
- A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds:
- A majority of voting Senate seats, or
- Exactly half of the seats plus the Vice Presidency (which casts tie-breaking votes).
- A candidate’s party affiliation is determined by how they are listed on the ballot or their clearly identifiable public affiliation at the time the 2026 midterm results are called.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 62%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 62%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 59%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 62%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms? · Democratic House and Senate 63%
