What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic House and Senate 42.4%-0.3%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
99
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto15 nov 24, 22:374 nov 26, 5:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democratic House and Senate42%
Confronta le piattaforme· Democratic House, Republican Senate
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
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Disponibile anche su PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 altri esiti
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3m
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale7,5 Mln €
Volume 24h10,4K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6m
+3.0%46%
-1.0%17%
-0.1%2%
+1 altri esiti
100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale7 Mln €
Volume 24h54,3K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3m
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità128 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1610 lug3g di dati12 lug
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Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.