What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Democratic House and Senate 49.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
106
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
15 nov 24, 22:37 UTC4 nov 26, 05:59 UTC
Trend
0.3%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiBalance of power after 2028 US elections?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power After the 2026 Midterms
SmarketsRegole
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
- In that case, the market will resolve to "Other" or an option stating that no party has the majority in the chamber if such an option has been added.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Balance of Power After the 2026 Midterms · Democrats Senate + Democrats House 44%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 51%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · D-House, D-Senate 47%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 46%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 50%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 51%
Mercati aperti
Politics
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets quota Democratic House and Senate al 50% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms??
- What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.