Previsione della comunità attuale
Democrat trifecta 51%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+5.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mar 25, 00:26 UTC7 nov 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Balance of power after 2028 US elections?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
PredictItBalance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.
- Expected resolution criteria (pending final reference market selection):
- Independents count for the party they caucus with
- Tie in Senate broken by VP
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
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- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Manifold Markets quota Democrat trifecta al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Balance of power after the 2028 elections dovrebbe risolversi il 7 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.