Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2035-2036 17.6%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto2 feb 24, 19:14 UTC1 gen 50, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?
Manifold MarketsConstruction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the Voyager Station space hotel receive its first guests in 2027?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegole
Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.
- Due to dimishing radioactiv power a lot of instruments had to shut down, but the probe is still able to send data.
- Even though that takes 22.5h one way and currently only transmits glitched data this counts for the purpose of this market.
- This market will resolve to the year in which the last successful communication with the probe will be made.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Manifold Markets quota 2035-2036 al 18% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.