Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?
1.8 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026Politica USAElezione22gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRepublican Party — Michael Baumgartner 82.6%-1.8ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
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6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
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Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
6 ott 26, 06:25 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
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ForecastExWill Michael Baumgartner win the Washington 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Washington's 5th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
