Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in South Carolina's 1st District?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202625gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRepublican Party — Jenny Costa Honeycutt 70.4%+1.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
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2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
6 ott 26, 06:18 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt win the South Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt win the South Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
