Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneGeopoliticaRussia / Ukraine21gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeUnited Russia 96.5%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto28 lug 26, 06:46 UTC29 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
PolymarketWill United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?
Manifold MarketsHow are party-list seats divided in Russian state Duma in 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill United Russia get more seats in the next Russian Duma election than the one in 2021?
Manifold MarketsRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to the set of political parties that secure at least one seat in the 2026 Russian State Duma (9th convocation) through the federal party‑list proportional representation system only.
- Single‑member constituency wins are not considered for this market.
- The election is scheduled for September 18–20, 2026.
- Under Russian law, 225 of the 450 Duma seats are allocated via proportional representation, with a 5% electoral threshold.
- A party becomes part of the parliament if and only if it receives 5% or more of the valid votes cast in the federal party‑list vote, thereby qualifying for seat allocation.
- Parties that do not reach the 5% threshold, parties that are not on the final certified ballot, or parties that win only single‑member districts (which are excluded from this market) do not count as becoming part of the parliament for resolution purposes.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets quota United Russia al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections??
- Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to the set of political parties that secure at least one seat in the 2026 Russian State Duma (9th convocation) through the federal party‑list proportional representation system only.