Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeTomska 54.7%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto1 feb 25, 02:26 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the following public figures will be the first to pass away by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich public figures will declare they believe aliens have been hidden by the US government?
Manifold MarketsWhich public figures will outlive @Orangey?
Manifold MarketsWhich American public figures will serve jail time before 2030? [unlinked, add responses]
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiRegole
Transitioning for the purposes of this market is publically announcing you are doing one of the following
- Using different pronouns than previously
- Taking an HRT dose of a sex hormones not dominant in their typical assigned gender at birth
