Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?
PoliticaIAGeopolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeIran 100%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto5 gen 26, 04:17 UTC19 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Market Description
- This market resolves based on whether the US conducts military operations in the listed countries between now and January 20th, 2029.
- The question was created following the January 3, 2026 US military operation in Venezuela that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.
- For Venezuela specifically, only additional military operations beyond the January 2026 operation count toward resolution.
- This market focuses on significant new military interventions rather than routine expansions of existing commitments.
- The intent is to capture unprecedented, possibly unilateral action by the US, not proxy operations conducted through local forces.
