Previsione della comunità attuale
USA 66%In testa tra 9 esiti
USA 66%Previsori
45
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo16 mar 24, 23:17 UTC1 gen 41, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketRegole
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence