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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028
Manifold Markets

Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028

PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Graham Platner 23.6%
In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori

4

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto
9 giu 26, 7:2531 dic 28, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Graham Platner24%

Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
  • Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.

Mercati Correlati

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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Robert F. Kennedy: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

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Democrats Sweep: 44%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

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Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

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At least 27%: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

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Nithya Raman: 35%KalshiKALSHI
When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

1,4K €
Before Jun 13, 2026: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,163.91+3.41%EthereumETH$1,661.73+2.50%SolanaSOL$65.72+3.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0853+2.56%XRPXRP$1.12+1.60%BNBBNB$601.12+3.02%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Regole

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
  • Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
  • YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
  • NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
  • Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.