Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 65%In testa tra 7 esiti
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14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
+4.8 pts
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ago 23, 14:36 UTC1 gen 99, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiRegole
Tuberculosis is a curable and preventable infectious disease.
- And yet, over 10 million people fall ill with it every year, and over 1.5 million people die.
- Resolves to the year in which the WHO reports less than 1 million people dying from TB or the year there are less then 1 million humans alive.
- I will add a new year as answers as time goes by.
- So if you predict this will happen later than 2029 you can bet on 'Other.'
- Relvant links:
