Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 08:54 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeOther 72.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 25, 07:05 UTC31 gen 29, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves to the first tax year in which American citizens who are considered tax residents outside the United States (‘expats’) will owe no U.S. taxes on income earned overseas.
- Specifically, this means that in the given tax year:
- • Foreign labor income earned while physically outside the U.S. will be completely exempt from U.S. taxation.
- • Americans abroad may still be required to file tax returns, report income, or pay U.S. taxes on domestic-sourced activities (e.g., sales of U.S. property, domestic investments, U.S.-based business activities).
- • The exemption must apply broadly to American citizens who qualify as tax residents abroad, not merely specific exemptions such as the Foreign Earned Income Exclusion (FEIE), Foreign Tax Credit, or treaty-based exceptions.
- • The exemption must be enacted into law or confirmed by official IRS guidance or regulation.