Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 10:48 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale2030 or later 37%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 25, 08:22 UTC30 dic 30, 09:19 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the official release date of "The Winds of Winter," the sixth novel in George R.R. Martin's "A Song of Ice and Fire" series.
- The release date will be determined based on announcements from reputable sources such as the author's official blog, publisher statements, or major news outlets.
- The date will correspond to the first official publication of the book in any format (e.g., hardcover, paperback, e-book) in any country.
- As of May 2025, "The Winds of Winter" remains unpublished.
- George R.R. Martin has been working on the novel since at least 2010, following the release of "A Dance with Dragons" in 2011.
