When will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%?
29.0 pt (24h)InflationOne-OffBonds & Treasuries2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore January 1, 2027 54%+29.0ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+29.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
3 set 26, 13:591 gen 29, 14:35
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
$40 trillion is a lot! Inflation over 3% is high! Neither political party is really interested in cutting spending.
- All of these lead to an inexorable increase and interest rates on US notes, and bonds.
- This market will result in a positive answer if during DAYTIME markets, the yield of the 10 year ticks up above 5% as reported by the CBOE ten year yield symbol ^tnx
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+12.0pt57.7%
- 25 bps increase-10.0pt40.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 74,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 402,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 65,9K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-9.0pt61.4%
- No+9.0pt38.6%
- Volume totale
- 7,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 48,6K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting-10.0pt57.1%
- September Meeting-12.0pt42.9%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-1.5pt36.5%
- 0 (0 bps)+8.0pt34.6%
- 2 (50 bps)-2.5pt22.4%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8,7K €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in August
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- FAO Food Price Index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August Inflation US - Monthly
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%??
- Manifold Markets quota Before January 1, 2027 al 54% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%??
- When will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato When will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: $40 trillion is a lot! Inflation over 3% is high! Neither political party is really interested in cutting spending.