When will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
1.7 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20267g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeElection night: Nov 3, before midnight ET 62.8%+1.7ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ott 26, 23:08 UTC3 nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
KalshiWill Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurControl of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to the date (US Eastern Time) on which the Associated Press calls which party has won a majority (218+ seats) of the US House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections. **Resolution source:** the AP's race call for House control, as published on apnews.com (or the AP's live results page / AP Politics account).
- If the AP does not publish an explicit majority call, the time at which AP's own seat tally first shows 218 House seats called for one party counts as the call. **Answers (all times Eastern):** - Election night: Nov 3, before midnight - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome - the named outcome Calls made after midnight ET on election night count as the named outcome.
- If the AP has made no call by December 31, 2026, resolves to "the named outcome".
- For reference: the AP called the House on November 16 in 2022 and November 13 in 2024, both years with narrow majorities.
- In 2018 (a Democratic wave), it was called on election night.
- The market closes before the first polls close on November 3.
