KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Nov 4 40%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
62,8 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 14:00 UTC4 nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Trend
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Regole
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner.
- The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication.
- If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time.
- Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Kalshi quota Before Nov 4 al 40% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.