Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore Jan 2028 59%+9.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+9.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto17 ago 26, 8:1631 dic 27, 23:59
Trend
Regole
Resolves based on the date of first documented autonomous driving of a Tesla Semi on publicly accessible roads.
- The requirements are intended to be quite minimal, but to be specific:
- The driving/testing program must be approved by relevant authorities (similarly to have other autonomous car deployments/testing were approved)
- At least 10 semis driving for at least a week
- Must cover at least 1000 miles of roads with non-negligible traffic levels (at least 1 car per minute on average)
- Human oversight or a safety driver is OK as long as the testing program clearly attempts full self driving.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+42.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+23.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+33.0pt99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 240-259+36.0pt73%
- 260-279+2.2pt27%
- 100-119-16.7pt0%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,100 or above99%
- $74,600 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 401,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 383,5K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+7.8pt20.2%
- 300-319+2.5pt17.2%
- 260-279+5.5pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.3%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.4%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.2pt10.4%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,250 or above+31.0pt99%
- $2,130 or above+5.0pt99%
- $1,970 or above99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 467K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads??
- Manifold Markets quota Before Jan 2028 al 59% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads??
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves based on the date of first documented autonomous driving of a Tesla Semi on publicly accessible roads.