Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 11:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeBefore Jan 2027 55.4%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto15 dic 25, 14:16 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.
- “Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.
- The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).
- Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.
- Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.