Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 17 lug 2026, 19:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeBefore 2027-07-01 86.8%-2.3ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 giorni fa
Obsoleto20 mag 24, 13:251 lug 27, 21:59
Trend
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before 2027-01-0122%
Confronta le piattaforme· Before 2027-07-01
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto88% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 40% | — | 97,9 € | 18,5K € | 12 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 87% | — | — | — | 9 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
5m
40%
13%
2%
55 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale49,6K €
Volume 24h97,9 €
KALSHIRegole
As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$279 lug4g di dati17 lug
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As of May 2024, SpaceX and FAA are going through the Environmental assessment to clear SpaceX Starship rocket to be launched from Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
- It is anticipated that for Artemis III mission both launch location will be used.
- This question will resolve positively as soon as an orbital launch is attempted with Starship+Superheavy rocket from a launch pad in Kennedy Space Center.
- The question resolves positively even if the launch fails after the takeoff.
- Suborbital launches do not count.
- I do not bet on my own questions.