Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
In 2030 or earlier 41.8%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto23 feb 24, 07:16 UTC2 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Regole
The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board.
- At least one passenger has to survive the maneuver.
- I do not bet on my own markets.
- Similar question about humans on board at any time in the flight:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-fly-in-space-wit
- Related questions:
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 961,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 701,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 907,2K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers??
- Manifold Markets quota In 2030 or earlier al 42% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers??
- When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board.