Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrat 78.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 46 minuti fa
In ritardo27 feb 26, 23:51 UTC2 gen 28, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsPennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
KalshiNorth Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
KalshiJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves to a single winning option based on John Fetterman's official voter registration or his officially declared U.S. Senate party affiliation at 12:00 PM (Noon) ET on January 1, 2028.
- Resolves via official U.S. Senate roster records or verified major news reporting of his PA voter registration.
- This market is strictly about his registration label.
- If he registers as an Independent but continues to caucus with the Democrats, it resolves to the named outcome.
- The "the named outcome" option triggers if he registers as Unaffiliated, Independent, or with any third party (e.g., Forward, Libertarian, Green).