Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrat 78.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto27 feb 26, 23:51 UTC2 gen 28, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWhat will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
KalshiPennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves to a single winning option based on John Fetterman's official voter registration or his officially declared U.S. Senate party affiliation at 12:00 PM (Noon) ET on January 1, 2028.
- Resolves via official U.S. Senate roster records or verified major news reporting of his PA voter registration.
- This market is strictly about his registration label.
- If he registers as an Independent but continues to caucus with the Democrats, it resolves to the named outcome.
- The "the named outcome" option triggers if he registers as Unaffiliated, Independent, or with any third party (e.g., Forward, Libertarian, Green).
